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Infertility
and spontaneous abortion
Declining estimates of infertility in
the United States: 1982-2002
OBJECTIVE: To determine if the decline in infertility has
been uniform across subgroups.
DESIGN: Periodic data from the National Fertility Survey and the National
Survey of Family Growth were used to determine which factors contributed
to the decline in 12-month infertility in the United States. A woman is
classified as “infertile” if she has not conceived a pregnancy after ≥12
months of unprotected intercourse with her husband or cohabiting partner.
SETTING: National Survey of Family Growth, a periodic US nationally representative
study.
PATIENT(S): A nationally representative sample of married women aged 15-44
years, N = 15,303 for pooled data across 4 survey years.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Estimates of infertility prevalence among married
women aged 15-44 years.
RESULT(S): The decline in 12-month infertility in the United States from
8.5% in 1982 and 7.4% in 2002 was significant. This decline was evident
in nearly all subgroups of married women. In the multivariate analysis,
12-month infertility was more likely among women who were older and nulliparous,
were non-Hispanic black or Hispanic, and did not have a college degree.
The decline in 12-month infertility was observed even after controlling
for the compositional differences of the population over time.
CONCLUSION(S): Among married women in the United States, there has been
a significant decline in 12-month infertility, which cannot be explained
by changes in the composition of the population from 1982-2002.

Trends in 12-month infertility among married women aged 15–44 years, 1965–2002.
Stephen EH, Chandra A. Declining estimates of infertility in the United
States: 1982-2002. Fertil Steril. 2006 Sep;86(3):516-23.

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Edited by Aldo Campana,
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